Over the last seven years, it has dropped continuously – to 88,398 last school year. From 1998 through 2014, enrollment averaged 100,000 a year. “So that’s definitely one way to offset it, but that might be a tough ask.” “Basically, the one way you get around that is having migration into the state to balance that,” Grip said. Other than a stretch from 1973 to 1981, the state is recording the fewest births it has seen since before the post-World War II baby boom. There were 97,146 births in New Jersey in 2020 – the fewest in nearly 40 years, and the lowest birth rate per 1,000 residents since before 1900. It’s a trend that’s been happening around the country.” “I think in general it really ties back to the decline in the birth counts statewide,” he said. ![]() “Not every single age segment of the population does exactly the same thing as the overall,” Grip said. Demographer Richard Grip, executive director of Statistical Forecasting LLC, said age groups grow or decline at different rates. ![]() Though the last census showed New Jersey added 497,000 residents between 20, its public schools actually enrolled more students from 2003 to 2009 than they did in 2019.
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